U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Bobby Puglia is chief product officer at Bloomberg Industry Group, where he oversees Bloomberg Law, Bloomberg Tax, and Bloomberg Government. Prior to his current role, he served as architect of Bloomberg Law's data platform, leading the strategy and development of its proprietary legal search engine, as well as the machine learning and artificial intelligence research and engineering organizations that support Bloomberg Industry Group's products.
Blaine Frederick is VP of Product at Alcatraz AI, an artificial intelligence company that employs facial authentication technology to create autonomous access control solutions for enterprises. Frederick brings 20+ years of experience in the Physical Security industry with specific expertise in the Biometric space. Frederick currently serves as the VP of Product at Alcatraz AI where he leads the Product and Engineering teams. Prior to his work at Alcatraz AI, he served as Co-Founder and Principal of BDIS which provides Consultation and Professional Services for the physical security market. Previously, Frederick held the role of VP of Product for EyeLock, where he captained the firm's vision for iris authentication products and solutions in physical and logical security as well as numerous other commercial applications. Frederick also acted as the former Director of Product Management at STANLEY Security, a global division of Stanley Black & Decker where he led the creation of an industry-leading security management software suite, Commander. He received a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from Purdue University.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.