U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
As the Senior Director of Behavioral Economics at Financial Health Network, Heidi Johnson leads the application of behavioral insights to design and deliver effective financial health solutions. She established the Financial Health Network's applied behavioral insights practice, driven by a desire to work directly with businesses creating products and services that touch people's financial lives each day.
Trent Sorbe joined First International Bank & Trust (FIBT) in 2023 as the institution's first chief payments officer. He previously held senior positions at four nationwide payment card issuers as well as the FDIC.
Jaspaul Saini is a principal analyst in Celent's North American insurance practice. He is a seasoned technology executive with extensive experience in leveraging data analytics and emerging technologies to drive digital transformation in the insurance industry. Jaspaul's areas of expertise include: enterprise data strategy, cloud data platforms and modernization, master data management and data governance, business intelligence (BI) and advanced analytics, insurance core systems transformation, martech, technology assessments and roadmaps.
His previous roles have included head of the data and analytics practice at Exavalu, insurance solutions principal for HCL; data consulting director at EY and Capgemini; and AVP of data and business technology integration at Zurich North America.
Jaspaul has a MSc in IT from the University of Warwick (UK) and a Bachelor's degree in electronic engineering from Birmingham City University.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.