U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Molly Minnick, RN, BSN, is a Personal Health Advocate at Health Advocate specializing in supporting working caregivers with education, resources, and emotional support. She has previously worked with Penn Palliative Home Care, Eternally, and the Rosalyn Carter Institute for Caregivers, adding to her experience helping individuals navigate advanced care planning. Minnick earned her Bachelor of Science in Nursing from Villanova University and is currently pursuing certification as a Certified Dementia Practitioner and an Aging Life Care Manager.
Keri Robertson, D.O., is a Medical Director at Health Advocate and has more than 15 years of healthcare management experience with a strong track record of enhancing patient experiences and outcomes. Dr. Robertson trained and worked in Chicago as an emergency physician and held progressive leadership roles, which gave her insight into how a person's health is affected by their ability to navigate and advocate for themselves. At Health Advocate, she leads a team of Personal Health Advocate Nurses who educate, engage and advocate to help members take steps toward better health and well-being.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.