U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Nancy Germond, MA, ARM, AIC, ITP, SPHR, SHRM-SCP, is Executive Director, Risk Management and Education, for Big 'I' national.
Nancy is a second-generation insurance professional and an accomplished risk and claims manager. As the Executive Director of Risk Management and Education at the Big I, Nancy has authored scores of risk-management related articles and presents to organizations like the Public Risk Manager Association (PRIMA), claims associations, and the Society for Human Resources. She is also the author of Workers' Compensation in Two Hours, a book geared toward small business owners and new insurance agents who want to learn more about this important coverage.
Nancy graduated with honors from Mills College and earned her Master's in Sociology from Lincoln University. She holds the Associate in Risk Management designation, the Associate in Claims designation, and is a certified Insurance Training Professional. Nancy also holds the prestigious Senior Professional in Human Resources designations.
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The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.