U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Samuel Deane is a financial advisor and president of Deane Wealth Management, a registered investment advisor for founders and tech employees.
The wealth management firm specializes in equity compensation, financial planning, investment management and tax planning. After spending some time working in an industry traditionally reserved for wealthy retirees, he realized that he could provide wealth management and financial planning services more efficiently for his generation.
Catherine Stihler (OBE, FRSE) is a distinguished international leader and open technology specialist who served on the Governor of Pennsylvania's AI task force. She has also collaborated with the World Economic Forum's AI Alliance, and provided valuable insights to the US National AI committee, establishing her as a key figure at the intersection of AI development and governance, among other notable achievements. With a career including two decades at the forefront of European policy creation and decision-making, she uniquely bridges regulation and innovation - helping organizations understand compliance and achieve goals. Catherine seamlessly combines an insider's knowledge of international institutions and business with a results-driven approach, showcasing a unique and practical perspective. She is also acting advisor for Vero AI, the new innovative AI startup behind the Iris platform and VIOLET Impact Model.
Dan Chu is the executive director of the Sierra Club Foundation.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.