U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Megan Moody, CPA, is a managing director and Nashville market leader at the consulting firm Embark. After earning a masters degree in accounting from Belmont University in Nashville, she spent two years in the audit practice at Ernst & Young and then almost 15 years in the health care industry working at both public and private companies.
Jay Lee is the Chief Technology Officer at Colonial Surety Company, spearheading the design and distribution of innovative technology. Colonial Surety, a leading direct and digital insurer, is dedicated to providing customers with a straightforward and seamless experience when purchasing insurance and bonds. The company's online platform, combined with exemplary customer service, simplifies the insurance-buying process and removes the hassle from these transactions.
Sabrina Ticer-Wurr was a summer intern for Financial Planning through the Dow Jones News Fund in 2024.
She was a rising senior at Columbia University studying English Literature and East Asian Languages and Cultures. An aspiring business reporter, she was a deputy university news editor for the Columbia Daily Spectator, where she covered race/DEI and graduate schools.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.