States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

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Jennifer King

Jennifer King is Vice President – Customer Experience Service and Quality and Enterprise Project Management Office (EPMO) at Boston Mutual Life Insurance Company.

King oversees Customer Experience Service (which includes Reconciliation, Control & Reporting and Policy Holder Administration), Quality, Change Management, Implementation, and the EPMO areas in the company's Customer Experience, Innovation, Projects and Technology Strategic Business Center. She is responsible for the teams that facilitate the policyholder customer journey, and supports the strategic alignment of the EPMO with the voice of the customers and the company's needs. As leader of the EPMO, Policy Holder Administration, and Quality Center teams, she aligns project and operations resources to optimize customer and employee experience. Ms. King also serves as the Business Sponsor for BML Forward, the new policy administration system in development at Boston Mutual Life.

Ms. King joined Boston Mutual Life in 2020 as Director – Strategic Project Management Office. She was appointed to lead the new Policyholder Administration and Quality Center teams in 2022 after being promoted to Vice President – EPMO in 2021, which were renamed under the banner of Customer Experience and Quality in early 2023.

Prior to joining Boston Mutual Life, Ms. King holds 20 years of experience in project and program management within the financial services industry. Previously, she served as Finance & Risk Infrastructure & Business Solutions (FRIBS) Program Manager, Corporate Finance Vice President at State Street Bank, and held several positions during her tenure at the company from when she joined in 2007. Prior to State Street Bank, she worked at Investors Bank and Trust, where she began her career in 1996.

Shai Gabay of Trustmi

Shai Gabay is CEO and co-founder of Trustmi.

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Daniel Wheeler is president of The Fintech Lawyer, where he represents banks, fintechs and crypto startups.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

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A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.