U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Naseer Nasim is the president and CEO of Aptys Solutions, a provider of payment solutions for financial institutions.
Zach Donah is president and CEO of MassCPAs, where he works closely with the Massachusetts Society of CPAs' leadership team on the overall management and oversight of the society and its educational foundation. He has been with the society since 2013, serving in various roles in the organization's government affairs team. Prior to joining the society, Donah served as a legislative director and chief of staff in the Massachusetts State Senate.
Bill Snyder is the Chief Executive Officer of Vivante Health, a leading digital digestive health company and sponsored benefit, and has over 15 years of experience in healthcare technology and leadership. Prior to Vivante Health, Bill built and led national sales efforts and led the health plan practice at Virta Health. Previously, he spent 11 years with Humana, serving in various leadership positions, including Vice President of the company's Greater Chicago region.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.