U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Jan Smallenbroek is a managing director of tax at CBIZ MHM who has been serving clients since 1994. He focuses on supply chain structures and the related international tax and transfer pricing implications, assisting companies to efficiently structure their manufacturing and distribution tax footprint. He also assists with global tax rate structures, tax filings and compliance and transactional due diligence services.
Richard L. Chen is the founder of and lead counsel at Brightstar Law Group, a law firm specializing in providing RIA compliance consulting and corporate law services to wealth managers, financial planners, family offices and private fund sponsors.
Before launching his practice, Chen spent many years at several preeminent law firms in New York including Simpson Thacher & Bartlett; K&L Gates; Schulte Roth & Zabel; and Arnold & Porter.
Atul Tandon serves as CEO of Opportunity International, a Chicago-based international NGO that designs, delivers and scales innovative financial solutions to help families living in poverty build sustainable livelihoods. The NGO reached over 18 million people last year, supporting individuals and families experiencing extreme poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia, as well as Central and South America. As a global executive for Citibank, Tandon pioneered personal banking solutions in India and grew Citi's global consumer networks to more than 146 million accounts with a presence in over 100 countries.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.