U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Karen P. Schaeffer is the managing member and co-founder of Schaeffer Financial, a financial consulting firm in suburban Washington, D.C.
She has been advising clients for over 40 years and has developed a diverse client base including professional women, Foreign Service Officers, foreign nationals and federal government employees. In addition to her financial planning practice, she is a popular lecturer and seminar leader. She has spoken on global financial planning issues at many international conferences and has represented the CFP Board at Financial Planning Standards Board meetings around the world. Organizations that have drawn on her expertise include the World Bank, the Department of the Treasury, the International Monetary Fund, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. and the Department of State.
Nancy A. Kistner, CFP, is a managing director, wealth strategy executive and head of business strategy for the Bank of America Private Bank Wealth Strategy Group.
She also serves as the wealth strategy division executive for New York and the West Division for the Private Bank headquartered in New York. In addition to leading business strategy for the Wealth Strategy Group in the Private Bank, she directs the efforts of wealth strategists throughout New York City and the West Division, encompassing twelve markets across eight states including Arizona, California, Colorado, Nevada, New York, Oregon, Utah and Washington. She also serves as an executive leader of the Private Bank Onboarding Council, Whole Family Engagement Council and Advisor/Analyst Development Programs.
Justin Peterson is a Deadly Weapons Protection Underwriter at Beazley. He has been with Beazley since 2022.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.