U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Luis F. Rosa, certified financial planner and enrolled agent, is the founder of Pasadena, California-based financial planning firm Build a Better Financial Future.
He is host of the "On My Way to Wealth" podcast, co-founder of the BlatinX (BLX) Internship Program and co-founder of the SER Latino Advisor Summit. Among his many industry accolades, Rosa has been named to Financial Planning's list of people who will transform wealth management, to the InvestmentNews 40 Under 40 list, to Financial Advisor magazine's 10 Young Advisors to Watch, and four times to the Investopedia Top 100 Financial Advisors list. In 2023 NerdWallet named him one of eight Hispanic personal finance influencers to follow for money advice.
Rosa came to the U.S. at age 11 from the Dominican Republic. Growing up in New York City, Rosa noticed the lack of financial literacy in his community and was inspired by his parents to work hard and pursue an education. Rosa uses his platform to help spread financial literacy via media outreach as well as encourage younger and diverse planners to join and thrive in the industry.
James Gerber is the CFO of SimSpace Corp. and a former financial regulator at the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corp.
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The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.