U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Darin Campana is a Senior Manager of Insurance Consulting for EPAM Continuum. In this role, he provides advisory services to insurance clients through their transformation and modernization journeys. With more than 26 years of experience across consulting and insurance industries, Darin helps clients enable technologies in the disruption of today's insurance markets including intelligent process automation, big data, artificial intelligence (AI), omni-channel applications and IoT.
Steven Tesler is Senior Manager of Insurance Consulting for EPAM Continuum, the integrated business, technology and experience consulting practice of EPAM Systems, Inc. With more than 25 years of experience supporting the Insurance Industry as a Consultant, Technology Strategist, and Solutions Consultant, Steven has a track record of managing cross-functional teams in executing strategic initiatives across the business, finance, operations, and technology from design through implementation.
Clement Feng is vice president of product management for Briggs & Stratton Energy Solutions, which has a portfolio that includes home standby generators and energy storage systems for homeowners and businesses.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.