U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Daniel J. McMahon, CPA, is the founder and managing partner of Integrated Growth Advisors (IGA), a value creation and growth advisory firm focused on empowering business leaders to systematically enhance their revenues, profitability, sustainability and value. IGA creates sustainability, transferability and wealth for business owners by addressing common issues relating to growth, control and transition of ownership. IGA has been serving clients throughout the U.S. since 2011.
Shawn Degnan leads Cross Country Consulting's National Accounting Advisory practice and the Washington, D.C. office, where he is responsible for the overall strategy, client delivery and people, as well as practice and business development. In this role, he guides service delivery for private and public companies, ranging from growth-oriented venture capital and private equity backed businesses to Fortune 500 companies. He brings more than 20 years of experience advising clients on complex technical accounting issues and strategic transactions, including initial public offerings, mergers and acquisitions, carve-outs, and spinoffs. Prior to joining Cross Country, he spent nine years at MorganFranklin Consulting as managing director and commercial market leader guiding all aspects of the firm's commercial practice. He spent the first 12 years of his career with EY in its global capital markets and assurance practices leading delivery of both audit and advisory engagements for large, global SEC registrants and private companies.
Manish Khetan is president of strategic accounts at Xceedance, with 15 years of experience in transforming insurance operations. He leads the North America business and is responsible for business growth and service delivery at Xceedance. He focuses on identifying growth drivers, business planning, capability development, client relations, organizational learning and development, and alternate channels of expansion, including partnerships and acquisitions.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.