U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Meredith has almost four decades of industry operations and technology experience spanning all lines of business and the entire insurance value chain. During her 33 years at Liberty Mutual, she was responsible for numerous digital, product, and organizational transformations. Meredith was most recently the industry go-to-market strategist at Ushur, an AI SaaS startup, driving growth and brand awareness across both the P&C and LA&H segments.
As part of the Advisory and Research team at ReSource Pro, Meredith works directly with carrier advisory clients, engages in research efforts, and supports carrier consulting projects.
Sathish Kumar Manimuthu serves as the CTO at NeuralMetrics, an insurtech offering AI-powered risk-assessment intelligence for P&C carriers, brokers, and agents. With experience in launching innovative technology and products for startups and Fortune 500 companies, Sathish is responsible for the company's suite of data-delivery engines and AI models.
Ronen Assia is a Managing Partner at Team8.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.