U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Kenneth Kelly is chairman and CEO of First Independence Bank in Detroit, Michigan, and chair of the American Bankers Association.
Axel Rebien is the CEO of Serrala, a global innovator in financial software solutions that enable organizations to optimize their financial processes. He holds the overall responsibility for the strategic direction, operations, management and performance of the company. Before he was appointed as CEO in July 2023, Rebien joined Serrala's Executive Board beginning of 2022 as CFO, driving the company's financial strategies and finance-related processes including accounting, financial planning and analysis that deliver a return in business transformation. Prior to Serrala, he held executive senior leadership positions at Unzer (CEO and CFO), a modular platform for international payments, PharmaSGP SE (healthcare and pharmaceuticals), and Tom Tailor Holding SE, where he successfully managed the 2010 IPO. He is based in Hamburg, Germany.
Jennifer A. Dlouhy is a senior reporter at Bloomberg News.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.