U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Darlene Pasquill is head of the equity division at Mizuho.
Robert Lewis is senior vice president of innovation and development at Verisk, where he uses data, analytics, and technology to drive efficiencies and automation in the claims handling process.
Rob was president of Verisk's Casualty Solutions from 2011 until 2022. He joined Verisk when it acquired Crowe Paradis Services Corporation (CPSC), a company he co-founded in 2006. Rob was vice president of sales and marketing from its founding until the acquisition, when he was promoted to president.
Prior to joining Verisk, Rob practiced insurance defense litigation in New Jersey and North Carolina and was a partner in the New Jersey law firm of Capehart & Scatchard. In 2004, he was selected by the New Jersey Law Journal as one of the "Top 40 lawyers under the age of 40."
Ilya Filipov has over 15 years of experience leading growth strategies across life, property, and casualty insurance. As Total Expert's General Manager of Insurance, he leads vertical growth and works directly with customers and prospects to address industry pain points and promote enhanced customer experiences across the entire financial enterprise.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.