U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Brooke Wilson is the Head of Resources for Living, a division of CVS Health's Mental Well-being, a leading provider of mental health and employee assistance program (EAP) solutions to members around the globe. In her current role, Brooke oversees Resources for Living's strategic direction and product fidelity while also developing solutions to engage and improve the mental well-being of members, caregivers, employers and communities.
John Mark Respeto is manager of the technical accounting group at Scrubbed, an accounting outsourcing firm. He has eight years of in-depth accounting and auditing experience and extensive knowledge of IFRS and U.S. GAAP. He assists companies in ensuring compliance with standards (particularly in adopting new standards), preparing and reviewing financial statements, internal controls assessment for SOX/PCAOB reporting, and technical accounting consultation, and facilitates technical accounting training. Additionally, he serves as Scrubbed's ESG advisor.
Jeff Sharer is LineSlip Solution's vice president of customer and product experience. He has more than 20 years of insurance experience as an underwriter, broker and risk manager. As the industry has digitized, Jeff has focused his work on transforming risk information management to make better risk decisions.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.