U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Noah Lang is a champion of health care access & coverage for underserved, low-income Americans who are often left out of the traditional employer benefits safety net. He is the co-founder and CEO of Stride Health, which has helped over 3 million gig workers and self-employed Americans access coverage. Stride is building an individualized portable benefits system in concert with brands including Amazon, Uber, DoorDash, Mastercard, Allstate, Oscar and Intuit. Noah collaborated with the US Department of Health & Human Services to help establish a unique public-private sector partnership to expand access to Affordable Care Act health coverage and premium tax credits called "Enhanced Direct Enrollment," which is now used by millions of ACA enrollees. Noah was a President's Scholar at Stanford University where he graduated with a degree in Product Design and was captain of the Stanford Triathlon Team. Noah is a proud father of 2 girls, an avid runner and endurance sports junkie.
Simon C. Mathews, MD, is an assistant professor of medicine at the Johns Hopkins School of Medicine and a researcher focusing on understanding and improving the quality of digital health. He also serves on the clinical advisory board of Vivante Health, a digital health company dedicated to helping employers improve digestive disease outcomes and reduce the cost of care.
Anthony J. Pugliese, CIA, CPA, CGMA, CITP is president and CEO of The Institute of Internal Auditors (The IIA), an international professional association that serves more than 265,000 global members.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.