U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Leo Bernstein is the founder and CEO of LineSlip, a solution that transforms commercial insurance documents into actionable insurance intelligence for risk managers. LineSlip is currently used by industry leaders in diverse sectors including private equity, real estate, healthcare, hospitality, retail and more. A two-time entrepreneur, Leo has many years of experience in finance and real estate, which inspired him to found LineSlip.
Robby Sundberg, CPA, is senior vice president of development at Embark, a business advisory firm. He was formerly assistant controller at a subsidiary of Toyota Financial Services and worked in the internal audit group at Verizon and in the Dallas audit practice at Deloitte.
Lukasz Strozek serves as Chief Technology Officer at Hippo. He joined Hippo in December 2020 from ecommerce payments firm Bolt, where he was Vice President, Engineering. Prior to that, he co-founded Clara Lending, an online lender with a mission of making homeownership a reality, which was acquired by SoFi. At SoFi, he co-headed Engineering and was responsible for several of the company's new products. Earlier, at Bridgewater, he partnered directly with founder Ray Dalio, translating his vision into technology products. He is a Harvard graduate and holds a Stanford MBA. Lukasz calls Oakland home, together with his wife, daughter and two pandemic cats.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.