States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

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Troy Vosseller is the Co-Founder of gener8tor–a Midwest-based venture capital firm and startup accelerator network. Since 2012, gener8tor has worked with more than 1,000 startups that have cumulatively raised more than $1.4B in follow-on venture capital. Troy came to gener8tor from the University of Wisconsin Law School's Law & Entrepreneurship Clinic, a program providing free legal services to startup businesses and entrepreneurs, where he worked as an Assistant Clinical Professor/Supervising Attorney. As an undergraduate at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, Troy founded the most cliché student startup imaginable–a t-shirt company. It was a success, and today Sconnie Nation continues to market a line of apparel that focuses on celebrating the Wisconsin lifestyle.
Before discovering his love of startups, Troy held brief stints at Qualcomm and Intuit. He holds a BA, MBA and JD from the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Alex Fuentes has 20 years of experience in start-up and rapid-change environments and is currently Brickeye's Executive Vice President of Strategic Growth and Business Development.

He provides a deep understanding of infrastructure development and cleantech to Brickeye, having served in senior roles within the energy storage and renewable energy sectors. Alex holds an MBA from the University of Toronto's Rotman School of Management and a Bachelor's degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Waterloo.

Lena is a startup veteran with demonstrated expertise in propelling business growth for growth-stage fintech companies. In her role as Chief Revenue Officer at leading life insurance technology company Bestow, Lena Chukhno oversees B2B partnership growth for advisor, embedded and enterprise partners. Companies of every size — from startups to public companies — leverage Bestow's software to launch and sell digital life insurance and improve efficiency and profitability by managing the business online.

Prior to joining Bestow, Lena had a combined role as the General Manager of Student Loan Refinancing and Head of Strategy at Earnest, a mission-driven fintech in San Francisco. Under her leadership, Earnest grew to become the market leader in the education financing space.

Previously, she led business development and growth strategy for the Multi-Asset Solutions division at JPMorgan and spent time at McKinsey & Company in management consulting.

A native of Ukraine, Lena earned bachelor's and master's degrees in finance from Kyiv National Economic University, and an MBA from INSEAD.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

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A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.