States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE

Chase Huey is Vice President, Innovation Pipeline for RGAX.  As a key member of the RGAX Global Accelerator team,  Chase is responsible for leading concept validation and  executing business concepts as they progress through the  pipeline. 

Chase has worked in a variety of industries, beginning his  career in the non-profit sector managing mobile clinics  throughout the state of Iowa focused on serving migrant  farm workers. He then moved to St. Louis after being  accepted into the Coro Fellows Program in Public Affairs,  during which time he led a number of initiatives for  corporate and political organizations. 

After completing the fellowship, Chase started a small  project management consulting practice before taking  a role as a director in clinical outreach and public health/ at-risk population research with the Saint Louis University sponsored clinic, Casa de Salud. 

Chase has a Bachelor of Arts (B.A.) degree from Carleton  College, and later received his MBA from Washington  University in St. Louis, studying Marketing and  Entrepreneurship. During his graduate studies, he  completed consulting practicums for start-ups in the U.S.  and Israel. After graduating, he worked in technology  business development and early-concept validation  consulting before joining RGAX as an Entrepreneur in  Residence and then becoming a full-time employee in 2016.

Brian Bartosh, CIC, LUTCF, is president of Top O' Michigan Solutions and a board member of SignOn Once by ID Federation. He can be reached at bbartosh@tomia247.com 

Alvito Vaz, with more than 30 years of experience in leading insurance digital transformation, is business manager of SignOn Once by ID Federation, the nonprofit coalition of insurance industry leaders committed to improving the security and efficiency of insurance transactions. He can be reached at alvito@idfederation.com.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

boarded-up-building.jpg
A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.