U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Vishal Sankhla is co-founder and CEO of Outmarket.
Sankhla has dedicated his career to building intelligent, automated systems that replace inefficiency with speed, clarity, and action. He previously led the platform team at Uber, was Director of Engineering at Facebook, and Head of Product at Ethos Life Insurance.
At Outmarket, Sankhla leads a team that delivers a comprehensive AI solution to the manual workflows, siloed data, and outdated processes that cost brokers and carriers billions in lost productivity each year. Outmarket is now trusted by over 200 of the world's most successful insurance agencies to streamline operations, reduce E&O exposure and drive growth. Connect with Vishal on LinkedIn.
Mike Gerhard is chief data and AI officer at BDO USA, where he is responsible for integrating AI into BDO's operations. He has led numerous technology initiatives, including the enterprise digital transformation and innovation program. Additionally, he leads the research and AI development team.
Patrick Armstrong leads the revenue function at ReSource Pro, guiding the company's go-to-market strategy across the retail, MGA/wholesale, and carrier segments. With more than 30 years of sales and insurance leadership, including 17 years as an agency principal, he brings deep industry expertise to helping organizations improve performance and drive profitable growth.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.