U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Anthony Macciola is chief innovation officer at North Carolina-based ABBYY, a global digital intelligence company. He holds more than 45 patents for technologies in mobility, text analytics, image processing, and process automation and is leading AI initiatives at ABBYY.
Marc Staut is chief innovation and technology officer at Boomer Consulting Inc.
Justin Turner is VP of Strategic Partnerships - Shipping (Global) at Cover Genius, the insurtech for embedded insurance that protects the global customers of the world’s largest digital companies including Booking Holdings, Descartes ShipRush and Intuit. XCover is also available at Amazon, eBay, and Shopee. In his role, Justin is responsible for leading and executing the company’s logistics strategy and creating value for partners by delivering a seamless insurance experience for their customers. Prior to Cover Genius, Justin was the Asia Pacific Head of Sales and Operational Marketing at Neopost Shipping and the Regional Chief Executive of global logistics companies Pacific Network and GP Logistics where he was responsible for leading the sales and operation teams and executing the company’s strategic direction. Justin has an executive MBA from RMIT University and dedicates time to volunteer as Vice President of his local community football club and as a contributor to the Surf Lifesaving Association.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.