U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Paul Mang is Chief Innovation Officer at Guidewire, a provider of predictive analytics and business intelligence solutions for the P&C insurance industry. He is the former Global CEO of Analytics at Aon plc.
André is responsible for the strategy and execution of direct venture and fund investment, in addition to establishing partnerships in the reinsurance business space that generate accretive value for RGA.
With an insurance industry career spanning over 20 years, André has spent the last 17 with RGA in various roles from marketing, business and product development, venture investment and senior leadership. Since first joining RGA in South Africa in 2005, he has worked in local, regional, and international positions, most recently transitioning to venture investments in 2015. His team currently oversees a portfolio of more than 35 venture and 8 fund investments spanning the globe.
André holds a post graduate degree in Actuarial Science from the University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, and Fellowships with the Institute of Actuaries (FIA), the Actuarial Society of South Africa (FASSA) and the New Zealand Society of Actuaries, while being an affiliate member of the Actuaries Institute of Australia.
He regularly presents at industry and professional conferences and is an active thought leader on many current matters affecting life and health insurance industry.
Ted Moynihan is partner and global head of financial services at Oliver Wyman.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.