U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Jonathan Mondillo, Head of Municipals, abrdn
Amar Patel is director of cost segregation at KBKG. Previously, he spent 15 years at a Big Four accounting firm and one year at Centiv LLC, focusing on various specialty tax products including cost recovery solutions and research and development tax credits. In the past 16 years of practice, he has specialized in cost segregation and large fixed asset depreciation reviews for purposes of identifying federal, state and property tax benefits.
Serhat Guven is Willis Towers Watson’s Insurance Consulting & Technology Global Leader for P&C Pricing, Product, Claims, and Underwriting propostion. He and his team are responsible for the delivery of consulting services and technology solutions that are uniquely designed to help insurers respond to significant industry trends; as well as provide carriers support in core areas that are fundamental for effective business management and profitability.
Prior to his current role, Serhat Guven was Willis Towers Watson’s Regional Line of Business Leader for the Americas. In this capacity he was responsible for go to market strategy and development of the full range of consulting services and software solutions to insurance companies. Before joining Willis Towers Watson, Serhat spent nine years in a variety of positions at United Services Automobile Association (USAA), where he was the technical expert on multivariate pricing, demand modeling, classification and tiering analysis, territorial ratemaking, and data management.
Serhat’s primary area of expertise is developing advanced analytics solutions for a wide variety of insurance applications.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.