States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE

Missy Plohr-Memming is senior vice president of MetLife’s Group Benefits National Accounts Sales organization, which provides employee benefits solutions to U.S. based employers with 5,000 or more employees. In this role, Plohr-Memming oversees sales strategy and key growth initiatives to drive top-and bottom-line financial results.

The 15 bankers will be honored for their exemplary accomplishments at The Most Powerful Women in Banking: Next Awards dinner on October 25th, part of the weeklong celebration for the 20th anniversary of The Most Powerful Women in Banking

3 Min Read
William Dunkelberg, Professor of Economics (emeritus) and Chief Economist, National Federation of Independent Business

William Dunkelberg is professor emeritus of economics in the College of Liberal Arts, Temple University, where he  served as dean of the School of Business and Management from 1987 through 1994 and as Director of the Center for the Advancement and Study of Entrepreneurship.  He currently serves as chief economist for the National Federation of Independent Business.  His prior appointments were at the Krannert Graduate School of Management, Purdue University,  the Graduate School of Business, Stanford University and the Survey Research Center at the University of Michigan.  He has BA, MA and Ph.D. degrees in economics from the University of Michigan. Dunkelberg is a nationally known authority on small business, entrepreneurship, consumer credit and government policy.  He has appeared on CNBC, Bloomberg, Fox, CNN, MSNBC, the ABC, CBS and NBC Evening News programs, "Good Morning America" and numerous local news and business TV and radio shows.  He is frequently quoted in major news publications including The Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Bloomberg Business Week, The New York Times, U.S. News & World Report and USA Today, and serves on the economic forecasting panels for USA Today and Bloomberg and as an economic advisor to ABC News. He is the author or co-author of numerous books and articles.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

boarded-up-building.jpg
A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.