States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

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Ramanan Seshadri manages the professional services business unit for Orion Innovation, where he is responsible for accelerating business growth, client delight, and competency development. He is a global software services leader with an impressive and diverse 25-year track record from individual contributor to leading teams, turning markets and doing business in tough scenarios. He spent more than 12 years in Hexaware Technologies where he held various roles and became a member of the Management Council. As well as managing one of the largest relationships for Hexaware, he also acted as head of the Europe region, and led the health care and insurance verticals. Prior to joining Orion, he held leadership roles in Citiustech and Iris Software. He has a degree in Electronics and Communication Engineering from Madras University and a certificate from the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.

Chris McMahon was Senior Editor for Insurance Networking News.

David Van Bruwaene is a purpose-driven serial entrepreneur, philosopher, and educator; a leader in consumer and business strategy for ethical technologies. He is the founder and CEO of FAIRLY, a governance, risk, and compliance solution built to help businesses accelerate responsible AI models to market. Through FAIRLY, Van Bruwaene is working to promote and protect human rights at a time of growing concern of AI model development. With academic roots in Cognitive Science and Philosophy at Cornell University, David has academic relationships at UC Berkeley, the University of Ottawa, the University of Waterloo, and the University of Guelph.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

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A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.