States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE
15.Jill-Castilla-2025-CS

President and CEO Jill Castilla led a 180-degree turnaround at Citizens Bank of Edmond through her approach to Fintech and social media. She changed the story of the Bank from one of near collapse and failure to one of great success and innovation. Jill has told the story of the turnaround at conferences nationwide and to 5,000+ people in various industries. Jill broke virtual radio silence through the power of social media by leading the bank from having no audience to more than 30,000 followers who engage with the Bank through Twitter, Facebook, YouTube and Instagram. Jill was named “Most Admired CEOs in Oklahoma"; “Most Innovative CEOs in Banking”; "Community Banker of the Year"; and "Most Powerful Women in Banking" in 2015. She ranks #1 on ICBA’s list of Twitter influencers. Citizens’ community appreciation event implemented by Jill, “Heard on Hurd,” had more than 100,000 attendees in 2015 and generated more than $2.4 million in economic activity. Jill previously served in the U.S. Army and Oklahoma Army National Guard as a construction and civil engineer. Prior to joining Citizens Bank, she was at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City and with a community bank in Minnesota. Her academic background includes a Master’s degree in Economics from the University of Oklahoma and she is a graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Graduate School of Banking. Jill is a distinguished alumna of Hawaii Pacific University.

Michael Rosenberg is president of ai2hr.com.

Maiclaire Bolton Smith holds the position of senior leader, research and content strategy at CoreLogic. In this role, she leads the thought leadership team for the insurance division and works with the enterprise thought leadership team to reveal new insights about climate to the broader property ecosystem.

Prior to CoreLogic, Bolton Smith held previous positions at RMS, Emergency Management British Columbia, the International Seismological Centre and the Geological Survey of Canada. She is a seismologist by trade. She earned her bachelor’s in geophysics from the University of Western Ontario and her master’s in geophysics, specializing in earthquake seismology, from the University of Victoria.

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

boarded-up-building.jpg
A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.