U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Nancy Burner is the founder and managing partner of Burner Law Group, P.C., a boutique law firm concentrating in the areas of elder law, estate planning, trusts and estates and real estate, serving clients from New York City to the East End of Long Island. She holds the designation of a Certified Elder Law Attorney (CELA), awarded by the National Elder Law Foundation as accredited by the American Bar Association. For 14 consecutive years, she has been named as a Super Lawyer in the field of elder law. In 2020, she was named as the Long Island Elder Law Attorney of the Year by Best Lawyers, a national publication.
Scott Taylor is CEO and & founder of Perx Health, a leading engagement platform for chronic conditions.
Peter Keating is an investigative financial journalist who has been reporting complex financial stories for more than 25 years. His work has been published recently by GQ, Inc., National Geographic, New York and Politico.
Keating was a founding member of ESPN’s Investigative Unit, where his longform projects included pioneering work that exposed for the first time how the NFL dealt with brain injuries. At ESPN, Keating was a frequent commentator on Outside the Lines and public speaker, making six appearances at the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference, and was part of teams that won three National Magazine Awards. His work has also earned 10 Journalism Awards from the New York Press Club, as well as Investigative Reporters and Editors, Deadline Club and National Headliner Awards.
Keating has written four national columns: “Numbers” and “The Biz” for ESPN the Magazine (1999-2019), “The New Retirement” for Smart Money (2006-2010) and “The Advocate” for Money (1999-2000). He was the senior writer for politics at George during the 2000 presidential campaign.
Keating lives in Montclair, New Jersey, with his wife Karen, their daughters Ellie and Samantha, and their dog, Otis.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.