U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Justin L. Mack was the wealthtech reporter for Financial Planning, as well as the host and lead editorial producer of the Financial Planning Podcast. The Cleveland, Ohio, native earned bachelor's degrees in communication and political science from Purdue University before spending more than a decade as a USA Today Network journalist with the Lafayette Journal & Courier and the Indianapolis Star. His work as a reporter, anchor, moderator and host has earned him awards for coverage of crime, politics, pop culture, business, breaking news and investigations. Justin also serves as a board member for the Indiana Professional Chapter of the Society of Professional Journalists. In addition to exploring the role technology plays in the lives of advisors on a daily basis, Justin covered efforts to address the diversity and culture issues that have plagued financial services for generations.
Nathan Place is a national reporter at American Banker. A native of New York City, he has worked for more than a decade in both print and video journalism. He got his start in Beijing, where he worked as a copy editor and reporter for China Daily. He then returned to New York, where he earned his master's degree from the CUNY Graduate School of Journalism. Since then he's worked as a reporter for the New York Daily News and The Independent, as well as a video producer for the Daily Mail, the Daily Beast and Men's Journal.
Victoria Zhuang is the professional development reporter at Financial Planning. She has a bachelor's degree in comparative literature from Harvard University and a master's degree in journalism from Columbia Journalism School. Before joining FP, she freelanced as an arts and culture writer while working in the Boston nonprofit world for several years. She also completed a Dow Jones News Fund business reporting internship at American Banker. Victoria covers how wealth management firms maintain their competitive edge and how financial advisors can achieve excellence serving clients of all wealth levels. She is a native of New York City.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.