U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Mark Corcoran is CFA, OCIO at tru Independence
Charles Maniace is vice president of regulatory analysis and design at Sovos, a global provider of software that safeguards businesses from the burden and risk of modern tax. An attorney by trade, he leads a team of attorneys and tax professionals responsible for all the tax and regulatory content that keeps Sovos customers compliant. Over his 15-year career in tax and regulatory automation, he has provided analysis to The Wall Street Journal, NBC and other outlets.
Désirée is Ginger’s Chief People Officer. Prior to Ginger, she was CPO at Carrot, where she built and led the company’s human resources function across the employee lifecycle. Prior to this, she led human resources functions at The Permanente Medical Group in San Francisco and BaroSense, a medical device company. Informed by human-centered design principles and data-driven inquiry, Désirée is committed to curating joyful and resilient workplace cultures where employees are empowered to do their best work. Born and raised in Europe, Désirée speaks three languages fluently, and she draws on her culturally diverse background to champion diversity, equity, and inclusion. She is trained in economics and legal studies, and holds a BA in Humanities and a master's degree in Clinical Psychology both from the California Institute of Integral Studies in San Francisco.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.