U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Jason Wenk is the founder and CEO of Altruist, a wealth management platform built for independent advisors. With more than 25 years of experience in financial services and technology, he has worked across the industry as a quantitative analyst, financial advisor and fintech founder.
Peter Rodes is vice president of innovation and advisory services, for RGAX, the transformation engine of Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated (RGA). Based in Chicago, Peter is a member of RGAX’s Emerging Solutions team, with a global role in developing novel and/or disruptive approaches to engaging with life and health insurance consumers to enable them to live healthier, longer, and more financially secure lives. Peter joins RGAX with more than 25 years of experience in health care, marketing and insurance.
As Program Manager, Global Product Portfolio Management for RGAX, the transformation engine of RGA Reinsurance Company, Eva Goldstein has global responsibility for RGA’s product framework, helping RGA and RGAX launch and scale industry-leading products and services. Based in Toronto, Eva brings more than 20 years of industry experience and a deep knowledge of both traditional and non-traditional parts of the business to her role, including local and global business development, alternative distribution, group healthcare, and most recently, strategic partnership management for RGAX.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.