U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Scott Madenburg is a market advisor at AuditBoard, where he works with various internal audit and compliance teams to help automate the administrative tasks of audit, risk and compliance activities. He is an internal audit leader with over 15 years of global business experience in financial, information system, operational, and compliance auditing; Sarbanes-Oxley; business process evaluation and design; ERP system implementation and administration; mergers and acquisitions; cyber-security; and fraud investigation. He began his career at Arthur Andersen before transitioning into internal audit with Fox Entertainment & News Corporation and Gemstar-TV Guide/Rovi Corporation. Prior to joining AuditBoard, he was the head of audit at Mobilitie LLC, where he built the internal audit function from the ground up to an eight-person department focusing on agile audits, cyber and IT security, and FCC compliance.
Ian Williams is a director at KBKG, specializing in research and development and employment tax credits. He spent 11 years at a Big Four accounting firm specializing in R&D tax credits and fixed asset studies across a variety of industries. He has extensive experience in software, heavy manufacturing, aerospace, automotive, and consumer products industries, as well as defending credit claims with the IRS.
Jason Melillo is a principal and local incentive practice leader at KBKG. His areas of expertise are local incentives, employment tax credits which includes enterprise zones, Work Opportunity Tax Credits, and other employment credits. For over 20 years, he has worked with numerous companies and CPAs on employment tax credits as well as cost segregation studies.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.