U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Ken Cahill is the CEO and co-founder of SilverCloud Health. With offices in Boston, Dublin, and London, SilverCloud is the world’s leading digital mental health platform. It enables the delivery of clinically validated digital therapeutic programs that are proven to significantly improve mental health outcomes, increase access and scale while reducing costs of care delivery.
Prior to founding SilverCloud Health, Ken held senior positions in several multinationals including, Dell, HP, and Gateway. Ken received the 2018 MedTech Boston 40 under 40 award. He holds a BSc. in computing, and a diploma in new business and certificate in company direction from the Institute of Directions in London. Visit Ken on LinkedIn or Twitter at @SilverCloudH.
Nigel Morris is the co-founder and managing partner of QED Investors, a fintech venture capital platform focused on disruptive, high-growth financial services companies.
Nigel is the chairman of ClearScore and Mission Lane, serves on the boards of Remitly, Bitso, Current and Amount, and is a board observer for QuintoAndar. Additionally, he works in an advisory capacity with Oliver Wyman.
Prior to QED, Nigel co-founded Capital One Financial Services in 1994.
The outcome of Tuesday’s election could be profound tax changes, but that’s only if one party wins control of both houses of Congress and the White House.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.