U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Davide Santonocito is an AI Engineer and QA expert at Sollers Consulting, specializing in ensuring the reliability, performance, and governance of agentic AI systems in insurance.
Brad Medd is Chief Technology Officer at Zinnia, where he leads the development of modern, scalable platforms that power the company's vision. With over 25 years of experience spanning financial services, healthcare, and technology, Brad brings deep expertise in platform innovation, cloud transformation, and agile delivery. Prior to Zinnia, Brad served as Managing Director and SVP at IHS Markit, where he led major technology transformations across diverse asset classes, from leveraged loans to retail brokerage. His approach combines technical depth with a clear focus on enhancing the user experience through thoughtful, future-ready solutions. Brad holds a bachelor degree in Economics from Johns Hopkins University.
Brandon Batiste is VP of health care innovation at Morgan Health
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.