U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Paul Livak is a director in PwC’s Insurance practice who focuses on digitizing operations and improving distribution management for US and global P&C, life, annuity, health & group benefits carriers. He has 20 years of experience helping carriers realign their distribution strategies, operating models, and technology investments with the capabilities essential to winning in the marketplace.
A survey of nearly 15,000 professionals found that those working in education and nonprofits felt it would take more than two years for the sectors to return to normal.
Kevin Au is a senior director, product marketing at Bill.com. He brings more than 15 years of experience working in the high-tech, financial services and payments industries focused on product marketing, product innovation, and corporate strategy. He previously worked at companies such as Intuit, LinkedIn, PayPal and Deloitte. Au holds a MBA from Northwestern University – Kellogg School of Management and a BASc in Computer Engineering from University of Waterloo.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.