U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
The meeting was the last in chairman Russell Golden’s term.
Paul Winghart, Market Economist, Founder & Chief Knowledge Officer, Wing-O-Metrics LLC.
Paul produces, distributes and charges for subscriptions for original economic commentary primarily for professional financial advisors.
Mr. Winghart is the author of ConsterNation!: The Economics Behind The Angst which examines the long-term economic fundamental that is holding the economy back from realizing enough of its potential, thereby causing all economic angst.
Since 2014, Paul has been an Adjunct Instructor of Business & Economics at Bethel University, North Central University and is currently teaching at the University of Northwestern -Saint Paul.
From 1998 to founding Wing-O-Metrics LLC, Paul was Vice President – Market Economist & Senior Fixed Income Strategist for RBC Wealth Management where he discerned and accurately prognosticated trends in U.S. interest rates. He also researched and interpreted evolutions in credit ratings to gain an understanding and appreciation of their implications on specific fixed income securities.
He has been published the Municipal Finance Journal Winter 2010 & Bloomberg News 2012. He was also nominated for selection to Financial Advisor / Private Wealth Magazine’s annual Research Manager / Due Diligence all-star team in 2011 & 2012.
Paul holds a Bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of Minnesota and an MBA in Finance from Bethel University.
The ATM industry was already mired in the painful transition away from hardware to digital technology, and now it must try to persuade consumers and merchants that cash isn’t unsafe to handle.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.