U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Les Richmond's role in Build America Mutual’s credit underwriting group is to evaluate the pension and other postemployment benefit plans and liabilities of the municipal entities BAM guarantees.Prior to joining BAM, he was with Hay Group, where he was a Senior Principal. His experience includes project leadership of a four-year engagement to conduct an actuarial audit of the five New York City Retirement Systems.Les currently serves as a member of the Advisory Committee of the National League of Cities’ Public Sector Retirement Initiative. The goals of this new initiative are to develop research on trends, challenges and solutions to local government retirement and healthcare, and to engage and educate city leaders on strategies to achieve greater fiscal sustainability in these areas.He is an Associate of the Society of Actuaries, an Enrolled Actuary, a member of the American Academy of Actuaries, and a Fellow of the Conference of Consulting Actuaries. He holds a B.A. in Mathematics from Rutgers College.
Mike Castino is Senior Vice President at U.S. Bank Global Fund Services and serves as Business Development Officer for exchange-traded products.
Dylan Curley is Senior Vice President at U.S. Bank Global Fund Services and serves as Global Head of Business Development.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.