States see $31B of taxes disappear due to COVID recession

Revenue dropped 6 percent as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.

The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE
Martin Froehlich, SRA

Chief Appraiser, Radian

Mark L. Carroll received his bachelor’s degree in political science from the University of Massachusetts in Boston and a master’s degree in health administration from Lesley College in Cambridge, Massachusetts.

Mark is a licensed Nursing Home Administrator in two states: Maryland and Massachusetts. He has been in the health care business for over 25 years. Mark’s passion for the elderly stems from a long line of healthcare executives within his family. He has held positions in both large publicly traded companies and the private sector.

In 2016, Mark opened hospice agency, Trinity Hospice, with the intent to deliver quality end of life care to residents in the skilled nursing setting, as well as, the community at large. Mark currently serves as CEO/Principal for the organization.

M&A wrap: Coronavirus, Goldman Sachs, Riverside, Paul Hastings, Arsenal, Moonsail, Sycamore, Top PE firms
February 27, 2020 10:36 AM

Goldman Sachs warns that U.S. businesses will not see earnings growth in 2020, as a result of the coronavirus. We check in with dealmakers on the potential impact on mid-market M&A. Arsenal buys healthcare search and communications firm. Audax, HarbourVest and Genstar named top three most active PE firms in U.S. deals.

6 Min Read

The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.

boarded-up-building.jpg
A boarded up Isabel Marant store closed in the SoHo neighborhood of New York.
Bloomberg News

The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.

Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.

“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.