U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Rahul Sharma is a senior project manager with US Bank, specializing in open banking APIs and embedded payments technology. With over a decade of experience in the financial technology sector, he has pioneered the development and scaling of API-based payment solutions across multiple payment networks including RTP, FedNow, ACH and Push to Card systems.
Srikanth Narayan is CEO of Cache Financials (Cache), founded in 2022 along with its subsidiary investment advisor Cache Advisors.
Previously, he served in engineering and product leadership positions at Uber and Alphabet. Self-taught in finance and economics, Narayan combines his technical expertise with financial acumen at Cache, which gives investors with large stock positions access to advanced products, tools and insights. He received a bachelor's degree in computer science from the RV College of Engineering, India and a master's degree in human-computer interaction from the University of California, Berkeley.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.