U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
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Al Anderson, CPA, has been a global leader in accounting and assurance advancement for more than 30 years. Over the course of his career, he has been named to Accounting Today’s Top 100 Most Influential People a number of times, most recently in 2017, 2018 and 2019. As president and founder of Account-ability Plus, LLC, he has worked directly with auditors and firms for over 25 years to transform their operations for auditing in the future, achieve efficiency and effectiveness, and surpass client expectations. He is also a nationally recognized consultant, educator and speaker, and guides his clients and their staff through uniquely designed programs and assessments with a future-focused, reality-based approach. Having led innovation for the profession as a firm partner, director, and AICPA executive, Anderson continues to advance insight and dedicate himself to driving accounting firm excellence. He recently led the AICPA/ Rutgers Data Analytics initiative and served as advisor to the AICPA and their Audit of the Future initiatives.
Patrick Donovan is a senior vice president at Bright Horizons, the nation’s largest provider of education benefits.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.