U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Karen Boone is a board member for Collective Health, Peloton, Tory Burch and Sonos. She was formerly the president, chief financial and administrative officer at Restoration Hardware.
Pam Kelley is the Product Line Manager for Wolters Kluwer Tax and Accounting workflow solutions, including CCH Axcess Practice, CCH Axcess Workstream CCH Axcess iQ and CCH ProSystem fx Practice Management. She has been with Wolters Kluwer for almost 20 years, first as a business analyst, then product owner, before moving to product management earlier this year. Prior to working for Wolters Kluwer, Pam’s background includes working as Development Manager for another time, billing & workflow solution provider as well as Accounting Manager in private accounting.
Damon Russel is the Product Line Manager at Wolters Kluwer responsible for driving strategic development, sales and retention, and portfolio management of document management and client collaboration solutions for Tax and Accounting Professionals. He has over 10 years of experience delivering enterprise software solutions for Wolters Kluwer customers and their clients around the globe.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.