U.S. states saw their tax revenue drop by about $31 billion, or 6 percent, from March through August, compared to the same period a year earlier, as the pandemic triggered economic shutdowns across the country, according to data from 44 states compiled by the Urban Institute.
The scale of the drop appears smaller than expected, relative to the depth of the economic contraction, and comes after several states have reported that their revenue didn’t decline as much as anticipated despite business shutdowns and increased unemployment. In August, when much of the country was reopening, state revenue climbed about 1.1 percent from a year earlier, the Urban Institute found.
Mark DiMichael, a partner in the valuation and forensic services department of Citrin Cooperman, specializes in litigation support and valuation services. His areas of expertise include divorce litigation, economic damages analysis, fraud investigation, cryptocurrency, white collar criminal defense, and business appraisals.
Daniel J. Healy is a partner in Anderson Kill's Washington, D.C. office. He started his career with Anderson Kill and then served over five years as a Trial Attorney with the U.S. Department of Justice, Tax Division. He appeared as lead trial counsel in federal and state courts across the country, received numerous Outstanding Attorney awards and served as the E-Discovery Coordinator for the Tax Division.
Krishna Prasad is senior architect for X by 2, a technology consultancy focused on the practice of architecture in the insurance and healthcare industries. Prasad has over 25 years of delivering hands-on experience in areas such as IT strategy and roadmap development, execution planning, and agile delivery leadership for initiatives involving insurance IT modernization. Prasad holds a Bachelor of Science, computer science and eengineering from the Indian Institute of Science, India. He also received a Master of Science, computer science from the University of Cincinnati.
Krish Krishnakanthan is a senior partner at McKinsey.
The tax figures come as Republicans in Washington balk at extending aid to states and cities to help cover budget deficits that are expected to continue as the coronavirus weighs on the economy. Experts say that states’ financial outlooks could worsen as the effects of the stimulus bill fade and high unemployment reduces tax bills next year.
The August increase should be viewed with caution since income-tax deadlines were pushed back to July, which could have resulted in some revenue being processed later, according to Lucy Dadayan, senior research associate with the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center at the Urban Institute. Personal income-tax collections, which rose 3.8 percent in August, were in some cases supported by backlogged unemployment insurance benefits subject to withholding tax, Dadayan said.
Between March and August, tax revenues fell 6.4 percent year over year, with 36 states reporting declines over that period, the report said. Between March and August, eight states, including Washington and Georgia, reported growth in tax revenue.
“Due to the shifting in timing of tax receipts this past year, it is crucial to view August year-over-year revenue gains and fiscal year to date data with caution,” Dadayan said in the report.