New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Françoise Gilles is AXA Group Chief Risk Officer and a member of the Group Management Committee, after having served in the AXA Asia Region since 2019 first as Chief Risk Officer, then as Chief Strategic Development Officer in charge of steering AXA's strategy across the Region, based in Hong-Kong. Françoise joined AXA in 2013, as Head of ALM and Capital Management for AXA Bank Europe, before being appointed as Board Member and Chief Risk Officer for AXA Bank Belgium. Before moving to Asia, Francoise served as AXA Belgium Head of P&C Retail. Francoise has served as non-executive board member and member of Audit and Risk Committees to several entities, incl. AXA Banque France, AXA Philippines, AXA Tianping, AXA IM Architas. She started her career in 1998 with ING and Fortis in Belgium, where she built experience in the areas of ALM, risk management and valuation. Francoise Gilles graduated as Civil Engineer from the Université Catholique de Louvain in 1998 and is an actuary.
Al Codalbu serves as Senior Vice President of Employer Business at Embold Health, where he leads the company's fastest-growing segment—employer-focused sales. With nearly 20 years of industry experience, Al leads growth by connecting employers with actionable, data-driven insights and solutions to help employees access high-quality care.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
