New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Jen Cressman is the chief commercial officer at Form Health, the national leader in science-based obesity care.
Jen is a veteran of the healthcare industry, building and leading exceptional sales teams at dynamic, innovative companies. Jen has been leading Form Health through rapid commercial growth since May 2023, focusing on leveraging the physician-led, science-based obesity care model to guide clients through the challenges and opportunities of GLP-1s.
Nishaad Ruparel is the president of Ascend, a Top 50 Firm formed in 2023 with capital from Alpine Investors, a private equity firm based in San Francisco. Prior to joining Ascend, he was recruited by Alpine Investors to help launch a new investment strategy; prior to joining Alpine, he spent time at AEA, an upper middle market PE firm based in New York, and at JP Morgan, where he serviced private equity clients out of the firm's investment banking division. He holds an MBA from Stanford University and a BS in Finance from New York University's Stern School of Business.
Eileen Connor is the president and executive director of the Project on Predatory Student Lending.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
