New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Dr. Lynne Y. Williams is a professor in the School of Business and Information Technology at Purdue University Global. She has won numerous teaching, research, and service honors, including the Outstanding Full-Time Faculty Member award for 2014. Williams’s research has been published in a variety of journals and books and she has been cited for her expertise on cybersecurity and online privacy issues in publications such as the Computer Technology Review, Techonom and Computerworld. Most recently, Williams has been researching the legal and ethical implications of passive digital footprints with an emphasis on data gathered through the Internet of Things.
Jerry Shultz is president of Lightbeam Health.
Neekis Hammond, managing director with Sageworks, provides financial institutions with advisory services and thought leadership, and consults with product development on compliance and accuracy. He specializes in the Allowance for Loan Lease Losses; CECL preparation and methodology; acquired loan accounting and valuation, stress testing, and various portfolio analysis topics. Prior to joining Sageworks, he held a key role within Elliott Davis Decosimo’s FIG Consulting division where he provided valuation, accounting and loan analysis services. Prior to Elliott Davis Decosimo, he was with a multi-billion dollar financial institution where he worked on acquisitions ranging in size from $130 million to $2 billion and was an auditor with a regional CPA firm.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
