New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Kevin Petrie is a senior director at Attunity and author of Streaming Change Data Capture: A Foundation for Modern Data Analytics.
Norbert Monfort is vice president of IT transformation and innovation at Assurant, which specializes in risk management. He is also an adjunct professor at Florida International University, where he teaches IT-related subjects.
Tobi Carter is a Checkpoint Editor/Author with the Thomson Reuters Tax & Accounting Business. In this position, she serves as in-house SEC expert. Prior to joining Thomson Reuters, Ms. Carter was an associate in the Corporate and Securities Law Practice Group at Certilman Balin Adler & Hyman, LLP for nearly five years. Before practicing at Certilman Balin, Ms. Carter was an attorney for two years in the Securities Litigation Group at Greenberg Traurig, L.L.P. Prior to that, she was Associate Counsel for two years at Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. Ms. Carter earned her Juris Doctor from New York University School of Law in 2001, where she served as Senior Staff Editor of the Environmental Law Journal. In 1998, she graduated from the University of California at Berkeley with a B.A., cum laude, in Legal Studies. Admitted to practice in the State of New York, Ms. Carter is a member of the American Bar Association, as well as its Business Law Section.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
