Coronavirus expected to damage these housing markets most: report

Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on 4Q foreclosure notices, local wages and other factors.

New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.

Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.

NMN040720-Attom.png

Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.

Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.

"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."

Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.

Advertisement
CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE
Brooke Ybarra

Brooke Ybarra is senior vice president for Innovation and Strategy at the American Bankers Association.  

Headshot of Dana Edwards.

Dana Edwards is focused on designing and developing digital products for the US and UK Simply Business businesses. He has a track record of running product, technology, and data teams using the latest customer-centric, agile practices.
His passion is helping engineers, business teams, product teams, data teams, and enterprises work in a way that produces high quality products for customers. This drives him to create an environment of empowerment and inclusivity.
Dana joined Simply Business in 2022 with an extensive background in financial services. Previously, he held roles as Chief Technology Officer for firms such as PNC Financial Services and MUFG Union Bank. His career started with roles in product and technology development, and academics

Headshot of Sam Rea.

Sam Rea is the chief technology officer at Aspire General Insurance, bringing over 20 years of experience leading IT organizations in the insurance industry. Prior to joining Aspire, he served as CTO for the PEAK6 InsurTech portfolio, overseeing technology across an agency franchise, MGA, SaaS platform, BPO service, and a national flood insurance processor. He previously held senior roles at National General Insurance as EVP and CIO, and at Zurich Insurance as assistant vice president.

For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.

Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.

There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.

Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.

At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.

King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.