Coronavirus expected to damage these housing markets most: report

Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on 4Q foreclosure notices, local wages and other factors.

New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.

Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.

NMN040720-Attom.png

Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.

Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.

"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."

Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.

Advertisement
CORONAVIRUS IMPACT: ADDITIONAL COVERAGE
Headshot of Max Bruner of Anzen Insurance.

Max Bruner is the CEO of Anzen Insurance and is making life easier for retail brokers, carriers, and clients when it comes to executive liability risks. He has a proven track record in building technology companies over the past 10 years across a variety of sectors, from data science and drone hardware to agriculture, consumer auto insurance, and now executive liability.

Max has an extensive background in U.S. agriculture, energy and technology policy. He's been recognized by Forbes on its "30 Under 30" list and was a Harry S. Truman Scholar- awarded by the U.S. government for public service. He is an alumnus of the University of Cambridge and the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Prathamesh Khedekar is a senior program manager at Creospan, where he leads technology programs for Fortune 100 clients. With a background in Silicon Valley, he has contributed to the launch of AI services across banking, pharmaceutical and technology industries. Previously, as a senior staff engineer at Motorola Solutions, he developed secure communication systems for government agencies in the U.S., U.K. and the Netherlands. He holds a master's in electrical engineering from the University of Southern California. 

Shree Reddy is the senior vice president of banking technology at PenFed, America's second-largest federal credit union.

For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.

Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.

There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.

Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.

At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.

King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.