New Jersey and Florida account for almost half of the 50 U.S. counties whose housing markets are most vulnerable to the economic effects of the coronavirus, an Attom Data Solutions report said.
Attom ranked 483 counties across the country based on the percentage of housing units receiving a foreclosure notice in the fourth quarter, the number of underwater properties in each county and the percentage of local wages required to pay for major homeownership expenses.
Thirty-six of the top 50 most vulnerable counties had median home prices in the $160,000-to-$300,000 range, the report noted.
Of the 10 most vulnerable counties, six are in New Jersey, including Sussex at No. 1 and Warren at No. 2.
"It looks like the Northeast is more at risk than other areas," Todd Teta, Attom's chief product officer, said in a press release. "As we head into the spring home buying season, the next few months will reveal how severe the impact will be."
Among the New Jersey counties that would be most affected, five are in the New York metropolitan area: Bergen, Essex, Passaic, Middlesex and Union. However, of the four counties in New York that Attom considered to be most vulnerable, only Rockland was in proximity to New York City.
Ben Malka joined Cota in 2019 as a Partner on the investment team, where he is focused on sourcing, evaluating, executing, and governance of venture investments. Prior to Cota, Ben was a General Partner at F-Prime Capital, a San Francisco-based financial technology and enterprise IT-focused venture capital fund. At F-Prime, he served as lead partner for a number of investments.
Since 1999, Ben has also served as a General Partner at North Hill Ventures, a financial technology focused venture capital fund. Previously, Ben was with The Boston Consulting Group, where he was the Project Lead for a number of clients across strategy development, acquisition strategy, new product evaluation, and operations improvement. He began his career at Bank of America as a Statistical Analyst.
Ben received a Bachelor of Arts in Economics and Political Science from Stanford University and a MBA from the University of Chicago.
Murat Kilicoglu joined Cota Capital as a Principal in 2022 focusing on the evaluation and monitoring of private investments as well as designing and implementing value creation strategies across the broad Cota portfolio. Prior to Cota, Murat was a Vice President in the Investment Banking Division of Evercore focusing on mergers and acquisitions within the technology sector. Prior to Evercore, Murat was a Vice President at Credit Suisse in the Investment Banking Division focusing his time on strategic advisory and financing assignments for software and FinTech companies. Previously, Murat was an Investment Associate at TRPE Capital focusing on private equity and venture capital investments across the technology sector. Murat began his career at Roland Berger, where he worked as a strategy consultant to technology firms and private equity portfolio companies in the areas of corporate strategy, growth strategy, go-to-market strategy, commercial due diligence, and corporate restructuring. Murat received a B.S. in Electrical and Electronics Engineering from Bogazici University in Istanbul and an M.B.A. from The Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania.
Chris Denver is a director at Stout. He has over 20 years of experience assisting domestic and international publicly traded and privately held companies with complex accounting and financial reporting issues, such as debt and equity issuances, share-based payment arrangements, purchase accounting, revenue recognition, earnings per share, and the adoption of new accounting standards.
For New York City proper, all five boroughs were in the middle of the list: Staten Island was ranked 161, Queens was 271, Manhattan at 312, Brooklyn at 320 and the Bronx was 327.
Most of the Florida counties considered at risk are in the northern and central portions of the state. But Broward County, which includes Fort Lauderdale, is also on that list.
There were four counties in the metro Chicago area on the list were Kane, Lake, McHenry and Will in Illinois. Cook County, which includes Chicago proper, is ranked 53rd most vulnerable.
Meanwhile, the only California county on the 50 most vulnerable list is Shasta. Los Angeles County was No. 276. The Bay Area counties were also in the bottom half of the list.
At the other end of the spectrum, 10 of the counties where the housing market is least vulnerable to the coronavirus are in Texas. Seven are in Wisconsin and there are five in Colorado.
King County in Washington, where Seattle is located, was the 20th least vulnerable county according to Attom.
